Cycling Feats

The amazing James Cook University at Sims Drive

James Cook University Sims Drive Singapore

Monday, March 18, 2013

Is investing in stocks an art or science?

I had been investing in stocks  since 1990 and had gone through numerous cycles of the market.

I agreed with Peter Lynch that investing is an art more than a science. He said if it is a science, accountants will be the richest persons. Nobody can predict the market turnaround 100 percents, usually base on past statistics they base their judgements.

Markets were driven  by fear and greed. At it worst stocks were driven to ridiculous level inconsistent with its fundamentals. 

I went to many Annual General Meetings and Extraordinary General Meeting to talk to market players to see what is really written in the annual reports.  I usually stay after the EGM to talk to the CEO, Managing Directors, Presidents or Executive Chairman, to ask questions and understand more about the listed companies.

Fundamentally sound stockSincere Watchwere  driven ridiculously cheap to 8 cts  in 1997 crash e.g.  had since been taken over at $2.

I had been collecting data on the Malaysian and Singapore market   and have 40 years of data.

If a person can master and forecast the cycle of the market,  he or she will do well in stocks. Investing stocks is more about predicting the cycle of the market.

To forecast  the stock market more accurately usually you need to look at  both the fundamentals and the technical .

If you talk to 10 experts, few will have different opinions of the directions of the market, even  Warren Buffett predict wrongly the market in 2008.


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